- Ethereum slips below $3,000 as volatility clouds near-term price direction.
- On-chain data suggests whale cost basis near $2,720 could act as support.
- Analysts cite rounded bottoms and cycle patterns pointing to potential rebound.
After briefly surging above $3,000 yesterday, Ethereum (ETH) has slipped back below the mark amid broader market volatility.
Analysts are now assessing where Ethereum could find a bottom. Drawing on technical analysis, on-chain data, and market cycle theory, several scenarios are emerging that suggest how ETH’s next major move could unfold.
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Analysts Outline Bottom Scenarios For Ethereum
Ethereum’s recent price action reflects the uncertainty gripping the broader cryptocurrency market, with escalating and easing geopolitical tensions driving notable volatility.
According to BeInCrypto Markets data, the second-largest cryptocurrency has declined 1.67% over the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at $2,970.87.
Analyst Ted Pillows suggested that a successful move above the $3,000 to $3,050 range could open the path toward the $3,200 zone. However, failure to reclaim this area could expose Ethereum to new yearly lows.
Amid this backdrop, other analysts are also outlining their bottom hypotheses for Ethereum. A CryptoQuant analyst CW8900 observed that the realized price of Ethereum accumulation addresses, a metric that reflects the average cost at which long-term holders acquired their ETH, continues to rise and is now approaching the spot market price.
This trend suggests that large investors, often referred to as whales, are still adding to their positions rather than exiting.
“Furthermore, the realized price is a strong support level for accumulation whales,” the analysis read.
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The analyst added that Ethereum has not traded below this cost basis, suggesting that whales tend to defend this price zone by increasing buying activity. Based on this data, CW estimates that even if Ethereum experiences further downside, a potential bottom could form around $2,720.
“In other words, even if further declines occur, the bottom is likely to be around 2.72k. This represents a difference of approximately 7% from the current price,” CW wrote.
From a technical standpoint, trader Kamran Asghar claimed that ETH has formed its third “huge weekly rounded bottom.” The previous two formations were followed by price rallies, potentially signaling further upside.
On higher timeframes, other analysts are pointing to similar reversal structures. According to the analyst Bit Bull, ETH appears to be forming a double bottom structure, alongside an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the monthly chart. Both of these are commonly viewed as bullish reversal signals in technical analysis.
“I think ETH will surprise everyone in 2026,” Bit Bull remarked.
ETH
ETH is doing what it needs to do after a brutal cycle: base.
The “generational bottom” narrative isn’t about a V-shaped recovery, it’s about structure.
Higher lows + reclaiming prior value = slow transition from laggard to leader.
Acceptance above this range is the real… pic.twitter.com/76AsVKX8PR
— CyrilXBT (@cyrilXBT) January 21, 2026
Lastly, analyst Matthew Hyland pointed to historical cycle patterns. He suggested Ethereum may be transitioning into a new phase of its market structure.
This approach argues that Ethereum follows a 3.5-year pattern, unlike Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle. The analyst stated the cyclical bottom formed in the fourth quarter of 2025.
“3.5 year cycle decline right into months 40-42 after making new all time highs just like the prior two cycles. The next cycle for ETH has begun,” he said.
Overall, analyst views remain mixed, but several indicators suggest Ethereum may be approaching an important inflection point. While short-term volatility persists, on-chain data, technical structures, and historical cycle patterns point to areas where downside could attract renewed demand, potentially setting the stage for Ethereum’s next directional move.
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